| Autors: Stoilova, S. D. Title: An integrated multi-criteria approach for planning railway passenger transport in the case of uncertainty Keywords: AHP, Decision tree,Hurwitz's criterion,Laplace's c Abstract: The aim of this study is to elaborate on an integrated approach for transport planning in railway passenger transport in the case of uncertainty. The methodology consists of four stages. In the first stage, the parameters of a multi-criteria model were determined. In the second stage, the weights of the probability variants of the strategies for change in passenger flow were determined using the AHP method. The alternatives of the transport plan were ranked by applying the SIMUS method based on linear programming. The results for the values of the criterion of ranking obtained through the SIMUS method and the weights of the variants of passenger flow variation calculated with the AHP method were used as input in the expected values in the decision tree. The selection of a suitable alternative was conducted in the third stage by applying the decision tree method. In the fourth stage, verification of the results was made. The case study for Bulgaria's railway was presented. References Issue
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