Autors: Stošovic M. A., Radivojevic N., Ivanova, M. S. Title: Electricity Consumption Prediction in an Electronic System Using Artificial Neural Networks Keywords: artificial neural networks; gated recurrent unit; energy con Abstract: In this paper, a method for electricity consumption prediction based on artificial neural networks is proposed. The data obtained are measured for a period of over 2 years and then separated to four seasons, so different models are developed for each season. Five different network structures (ordinary RNN, LSTM, GRU, bidirectional LSTM, bidirectional GRU) for five different values of horizon, i.e., input data (one day, two days, four days, one week, two weeks) are examined. Performance indices, such as mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean square error (MSE), are used in order to obtain qualitative and quantitative comparisons among the obtained models. The results show that the modifications of recurrent neural networks perform much better than ordinary recurrent neural networks. GRU and LSTMB structures with horizons of 168h and 336h are found to have the best performances. References Issue
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Цитирания (Citation/s):
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