Autors: Tarnev, K. T., Andreeva, R. A.
Title: Monte Carlo Model Of A VIral Epidemic
Keywords: Monte Carlo modelling, numerical methods, viral epidemic

Abstract: A Monte Carlo method for modeling of a viral epidemic is presented in the paper. Two modifications of the model are discussed. At the first modification random numbers determine the contacts of an one infective and the probability for transmission of the virus. At the second modification randomly are determined the number and the days of the secondary infections. The two modifications give equivalent results but the second one is numerically much more effective. The model is validated by comparison with other methods. Some test results of the model are also presented in the paper.



    , vol. 2505, issue 80003, 2022, United States, AIP Publishing, doi:10.1063/5.0100699

    Вид: пленарен доклад в международен форум, публикация в реферирано издание, индексирана в Scopus и Web of Science